DuelDuck Research Team
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Q2 GDP 2026 Prediction Markets: Growth, Recession Risk, and Soft-Landing Duels on DuelDuckBEA releases Q2 2026 GDP advance estimate on July 30 at 8:30am ET, simultaneously with June PCE data. Q1 2026 GDP contracted. Q2 is the decisive data point for recession vs soft-landing. DuelDuck opens macro community duels at 50/50 for GDP growth thresholds, technical recession definition markets, Fed reaction scenarios, and BTC/equity reaction duels.
PCE Inflation Prediction Markets 2026: How to Trade the Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge on DuelDuckBEA releases May PCE inflation data on June 25 at 8:30am ET. Core PCE was near 3.2% in April, above the Fed's 2% target. The June 25 PCE is the final major inflation print before the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. DuelDuck opens macro community duels at 50/50 for core PCE level, spending data, savings rate, and Fed reaction scenarios.
ICC Women's T20 World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Cricket Duels for the England Tournament on DuelDuckICC Women's T20 World Cup 2026 runs June 12 to July 5 across England and Wales. Australia are the defending five-time champions and tournament favorites at approximately 25-30%. England have home venue advantage. India and South Africa are the primary dark horse contenders. DuelDuck opens cricket community duels at 50/50 for match winners, group qualifiers, semi-final matchups, and the July 5 final.
Colombia Presidential Election 2026 Prediction Markets: Runoff Duels and Latin America Politics on DuelDuckColombia June 21 presidential runoff: de la Espriella (80.5% Polymarket, 43.7% first round) vs Cepeda Castro (40.9% first round). $9.6M first-round volume. 30.2% cross-platform spread between Kalshi and Polymarket. DuelDuck opens runoff community duels at 50/50.
NHL Stanley Cup Prediction Markets 2026: How to Trade the Conference Finals and Cup Final on DuelDuckVegas Golden Knights swept Colorado 4-0 and are in the Stanley Cup Final. Carolina leads Montreal 2-1 in the Eastern Conference Final. Carolina is minus-odds favorite for the Cup; Vegas +145; Montreal +640. Kalshi offers Stanley Cup contracts. DuelDuck opens hockey community duels at 50/50. Here is every prediction market type, information edge, and DuelDuck creator opportunity for the 2026 playoffs.
Jobs Report Prediction Markets 2026: How to Trade May Payrolls, Unemployment, and Market Reaction on DuelDuckMay 2026 nonfarm payrolls release June 5 at 8:30am ET. April added 62K jobs (consensus was 60K). Unemployment at 4.3%. Wage growth 0.3% MoM expected. This NFP report drops the same day as Summer Game Fest and 11 days before the FOMC. DuelDuck opens macro community duels at 50/50 for payrolls, unemployment, and market reaction.
MLB All-Star 2026 Prediction Markets: How to Trade the 96th Midsummer Classic and Home Run Derby on DuelDuckMLB All-Star Week 2026 runs July 10-14 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Home Run Derby on July 13, All-Star Game on July 14. Cal Raleigh defends his Derby title. The 96th Midsummer Classic marks America's 250th anniversary. DuelDuck opens fan community duels at 50/50.
Summer Game Fest 2026 Prediction Markets: Gaming Reveal Duels for Trailers, Delays, and Surprise Drops on DuelDuckSummer Game Fest 2026 is June 5 at 2pm PT from Dolby Theatre LA. Xbox Games Showcase June 7. Geoff Keighley hosts. FF7 Remake Part 3, Gears of War E-Day, Fable, and GTA 6 gameplay are the most-discussed reveal predictions. DuelDuck opens gaming community prediction duels at 50/50.
CPI and FOMC Prediction Markets 2026: How to Trade June 10 Inflation and the June 16-17 Fed Decision on DuelDuckMay CPI releases June 10. FOMC meeting June 16-17 is Kevin Warsh's first as Fed Chair. Polymarket prices 97.1% probability of no rate change. $28.3M in 24-hour volume on Fed decision markets. DuelDuck opens macro community duels at 50/50 for CPI surprise and FOMC outcome.