Politics & Election Prediction Markets — Insights
Colombia Presidential Election 2026 Prediction Markets: Runoff Duels and Latin America Politics on DuelDuckColombia June 21 presidential runoff: de la Espriella (80.5% Polymarket, 43.7% first round) vs Cepeda Castro (40.9% first round). $9.6M first-round volume. 30.2% cross-platform spread between Kalshi and Polymarket. DuelDuck opens runoff community duels at 50/50.
CPI and FOMC Prediction Markets 2026: How to Trade June 10 Inflation and the June 16-17 Fed Decision on DuelDuckMay CPI releases June 10. FOMC meeting June 16-17 is Kevin Warsh's first as Fed Chair. Polymarket prices 97.1% probability of no rate change. $28.3M in 24-hour volume on Fed decision markets. DuelDuck opens macro community duels at 50/50 for CPI surprise and FOMC outcome.
2026 US Midterms: Prediction Markets Price the SenateHow prediction markets are already pricing the 2026 US midterm Senate races. Polymarket and Kalshi odds, key swing seats, and what to watch in November.
Congress Stock Trading Ban: What Prediction Markets SayCan Congress members be banned from stock trading? What prediction markets say about passage odds, Pelosi Act, and legislative timelines for 2026-2027.
France 2027 Election: Trade Europe's Most Unpredictable VoteHow to trade the France 2027 presidential election on prediction markets. Candidates, polling, key dates, and where the smart money is positioning.
2026 Recession Prediction Markets: What Traders Bet2026 recession prediction markets: what traders are betting on. Polymarket and Kalshi odds, yield curve signals, Fed pivot probabilities, key data.
2028 Election Prediction Markets: What Odds Say Now2028 US election prediction markets: what the odds say now. Top candidates, party probabilities, where Polymarket and DuelDuck are positioned.