Tech Prediction Markets — Insights & Guides
How to Trade Tech Event Prediction Markets: Apple WWDC, Google I/O, and AI Announcements on DuelDuckPolymarket hosts 539 active technology markets. NVIDIA is 87% to remain the world's largest company by June 30. Apple WWDC starts June 8 - iOS 27, macOS 27, revamped Siri expected. Polymarket prices 58.5% NO on Apple releasing a new product category before 2027. DuelDuck creators who track Mark Gurman and tech leakers have a 30+ point entry advantage on tech event duels that Polymarket prices at 20-30%. Here is the complete guide to trading tech announcements on prediction markets.
How to Trade Company IPO Prediction Markets in 2026: Anthropic, SpaceX, and MoreSpaceX filed confidentially with the SEC on April 1. Polymarket hosts $17.6M+ in active IPO contracts. Kalshi prices Kraken at 83%, Discord at 70%, Cerebras at 77%. This guide covers every major 2026 IPO prediction market, how to read them, and how to trade them on DuelDuck.
Prediction Markets: Honest Measure of AI ProgressMMLU is saturated above 90% for all frontier models. LMArena scores were inflated by up to 100 points through selective submission. Meta admitted it “cheated a little bit”. AI benchmarks have become marketing tools, not measurement tools. The only evaluation mechanism that cannot be gamed by the entity being measured is one where the evaluators have real money at stake. That mechanism is prediction markets.
AGI Timeline Trading: GPT-6 & Claude 5 Release DatesThe race to AGI is 2026's most liquid prediction market. GPT-6 at 79% by December, Claude 5 priced at Q2–Q3 - here's how to read the signals, build your position, and earn creator fees on DuelDuck.
Artemis II Launch Trading | NASA Moon Mission MarketsArtemis II is targeting April 2026 after three scrubbed launch windows. Polymarket assigns 64% odds to an April 30 launch. Here's the full technical breakdown and how to build precision duels on DuelDuck.
AI Agents in Prediction Markets: Autonomous TradingAI agents are already executing thousands of autonomous trades on prediction markets ' a bot generated $150K from 8,894 trades without human intervention. Here's the full map of agent infrastructure, strategies, risks, and how DuelDuck is built for the machine-native economy.